A lot can happen in ten years. Just look at the first decade of the 20th Century. In 1900 most cars were hand-built things steered with a tiller by a central mounted driver, but within the next ten years, the Wright brothers had conquered the air, and Henry Ford was pumping out Model Ts with a driver seated on the left steering a wheel — those were exciting times and the change in the industry was palpable. On the other hand, you can look at the first decade of the 21st Century, and (other than headlights becoming melted pieces of modern art) there isn’t much to distinguish a 2000 model year car from a 2010. Obviously, cars are faster and more fuel efficient, (and there was that recession thing…) and connectivity (so you can snapchat your friends while driving) has made huge advancements — but for the most part the industry was stagnant. But these things come in waves and we could be on the cusp of dynamic change.
|The Truth About Henry Ford, by Sarah T. Bushnell, Public Domain|
I’m not going to sit here and proclaim that the promised flying cars are going to be delivered within the next decade, but I can say with some certainty that 2026 model year cars could be considerably different from what you can find in the showroom today. Electric cars are becoming a real mainstream thing (325,000 people pre-ordering a Telsa Model 3 has to mean something), google’s self driving car is trying hard not to kill anyone, somebody is launching a self driving race series, and Apple’s Project Titan is going to stir up the pot. I’d even be willing to bet that the automotive
dinosaurs major players will get into the spirit of things and surprise us.
My question to you guys is — what do you think are going to be the biggest changes in the next ten years of the industry and what do you look forward to the most/least? I’m just upset that we don’t have flying cars yet.